Research and Projects

Work in Progress

Sons of War: the Effect of Conflict on Son Preference - with Giulia Ferrero

Armenia and Azerbaijan, engaged in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, are known for their strong son preference and widespread use of abortion. In such a peculiar setting, we ask: does ethnic conflict affect son preference? By merging Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) data with two different sources of conflict-related casualties, we investigate the effect of ethnic conflict on fertility decisions. To do so, we leverage variations in geographic and temporal exposure to conflict-related violence in the context of the First Nagorno-Karabakh War (1988–1994), alongside variation in the gender composition of children between families. We find that families with only daughters exposed to conflict increase their fertility in the very short term. Furthermore, our analysis of births by gender reveals that this result is driven by the birth of sons. Conflict intensifies son preference, manifesting in son-targeted fertility behavior and sex-selective abortions. Lastly, we identify child replacement as a mechanism contributing to the increase in fertility, driven primarily by the replacement of male children.

The Experience of First Motherhood and Its Impact on Fertility Desires and Decision - with Chiara Daniela Pronzato

This paper investigates how a mother's well-being during her first experience of motherhood influences both her desire and likelihood of having a second child. Using data from the UK Millennium Cohort Study, the emotional state of mothers when their first child is approximately 9 months old is examined across four key areas: emotional support from their partner, life satisfaction, frequent tiredness, and experiences of misery or depression. The findings indicate that partner support and life satisfaction positively affect both the desire for a second child and the likelihood of having one, as shown by longitudinal data. The study also explores how these emotional states are shaped by broader life contexts, including work conditions, financial concerns, and the partner’s involvement in domestic and caregiving responsibilities.

Evaluating a training program to increase Hemoglobin test uptake: Experimental evidence from India - with Sharon Barnhardt & Narges Hajimoladarvish